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There are three actors on the baccarat stage and each has his objectives and his strategy.
The first is the player. In the entire game the player makes a single decision. When the value of the two dealt cards is 5, the player has to decide whether or not to take another card. In the event the player should draw a five, six, seven, eight or nine his hand value will decrease to 0, 1, 2, 3 or 4 respectively. In the event the player should draw an ace, two, three or four his hand value will increase to 6, 7, 8 or 9 respectively. In the event the player should draw a ten, jack, queen or king his hand value will remain at 5. The game of baccarat is usually played with eight decks so it is reasonable to assume that all cards have equal probability of being drawn. Since a greater number of cards reduce the hand value the optimal move for the player is not to accept another card. However the assumption that all cards have an equal probability of being drawn is not always valid. If the player has seen that a large number of high value cards have been sent to the discard tray then the probability of drawing the smaller value cards increases and the player should then accept another card. Hence in baccarat it is important to keep track of the cards that are being discarded.
The second person to make a decision is the banker. The decision of whether or not to accept a third card is more complicated in the banker?s case since the number of possibilities are large. Hence the banker?s strategy has been resolved through computer simulations. The strategy depends on the banker?s hand value and the player?s third card, if he has taken one. The strategy is usually presented in tabular form with one of the above variables in the rows and the other in the columns. Simply stated the strategy is as follows. If the player has refused a third card then the banker should take a third card if his existing hand value is 5 or less. If the player has taken a third card then there are three cases. If the banker?s existing hand value is 3 or less then he should take a third card; if the banker?s existing hand value is 7 then he should not take a third card and in all other cases the banker should take a third card only when the player?s third card had middle values.
The third set of people who make decisions is the bettors. They are not involved in the play but have to decide whether to wager for the player or for the banker. The most important tip for the bettors is not to wager money on the tie bet. Most casinos offer odds on the event of there being a tie. Though the payout goes as high as 9 to 1, mathematically this is not enough and therefore the house edge is very high. In simple words this bet is a rip off.
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